All Climate Events

How Do You Validate a Climate Model?

Download as iCal file

Thursday, 15 November 2018, 2:00

Thursday, November 15, 2018. 2:00PM. How Do You Validate a Climate Model? Timothy Delsole, George Mason University. Sponsored by NOAA GFDL. More information here.

Climate models make millions of predictions over space and time about the state of the atmosphere and ocean. How should such predictions be validated against observations? A widely accepted paradigm for validating climate models is optimal fingerprinting. In this talk, Delsole will review optimal fingerprinting and discuss reasons why it is not as stringent as it may seem. Delsole will then discuss some new ways to validate climate models inspired by the question of whether the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation is primarily driven by human activities or a manifestation of natural variations.

Location  NOAA GFDL, Smagorinsky Seminar Room, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ.