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Broken Promises: Understanding Western U.S. Snowpack Prediction

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Friday, 10 February 2017, 2:30

Friday, February 10, 2017. 2:30 PM. Broken Promises: Understanding Western U.S. Snowpack Prediction.  Sarah Kapnick, GFDL. Sponsored by Rutgers Department of Environmental Sciences. More information here.


California experienced an extreme drought between 2012-2015 with snowpack levels at the lowest in recent history. The strong "Godzilla" El Niño of 2015-2016 gave people hope for a drought-rescuing year based on an assumption that El Niños provide heavy precipitation to southern California. This research explores this assumption and others relating to the seasonal prediction of snowpack over the western United States. We find that prediction skill in our forecast methodologies exists over most of the western United States, but with southern California remaining elusive.

Location  Rm 223, ENRS Bldg, 14 College Farm Road, New Brunswick, NJ 08901