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Webinar: Dynamical seasonal forecasting for decision support in marine management

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Thursday, 09 February 2017, 1:00

Thursday, February 9, 2017. 1:00 PM. Webinar: Dynamical seasonal forecasting for decision support in marine management. Claire M. Spillman, Australia Department of Meteorology. Sponsored by NOAA Coral Reef Conservation Program. More information here.

Seasonal forecasting has great scope for use in marine applications, particularly those with a management focus. Seasonal forecasts from dynamical ocean-atmosphere models of high risk conditions in marine ecosystems can be very useful tools for managers, allowing for proactive management responses. The Australian Bureau of Meteorology’s seasonal forecast model POAMA currently produces operational real-time global forecasts of sea surface temperatures, with tailored outlooks produced for coral reef, aquaculture and wild fisheries management in Australian waters.

Operational realtime seasonal forecasts for coral bleaching risk on the Great Barrier Reef predict warm conditions that may lead to coral bleaching several months in advance, and play an important role in the Great Barrier Reef Marine Park Authority's Early Warning System. Early warnings of potential bleaching risk can assist reef managers to prepare for the likelihood of an event, focusing resources, briefing stakeholders and increasing awareness of bleaching onset. In marine farming and fishing operations in Australia, seasonal forecasting is being used to reduce uncertainty and manage business risks. Further, habitat distribution forecasts can be generated by combining these environmental forecasts with biological habitat preference data, providing industry with species-specific information. POAMA will be upgraded to the new higher resolution ACCESS-S seasonal prediction system in 2017, in collaboration with the UK Met Office.

Location  Webcast
Contact  jacqueline.shapo(at)noaa.gov